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RTRS: METALS-LME copper jumps 1.2 pct after China data, dollar fall
 
By Manolo Serapio Jr.
MANILA, Sept 11 (Reuters) - London copper futures rose more
than 1 percent on Friday while Shanghai futures pared losses
after solid industrial output data from China boosted the
outlook for demand and fueled a dollar sell-off against
higher-yielding currencies.
The dollar slumped to a one-year low against a basket of
currencies .DXY after data showing Chinese industrial output
expanding at the fastest pace in 12 months, showing the world's
third-largest economy was well on the road to recovery.
[ID:nPEK293624]
China's copper output hit a record 364,900 tonnes in August
while production of lead and zinc also leapt to all-time highs.
[ID:nPEK300366]
"It's fantastic. It's exactly what we need, that people
start producing and buyers start rushing in to buy while prices
are still low," said Ciaran Moore at Halifax Investments.
Data also showed China's imports of unwrought copper and
semi-finished copper products in August fell 20 percent from
the previous month, largely in line with market expectations as
record purchases in the first half inflated inventories.
[ID:nSP364371]
"There is a feeling that the restocking process may be
coming to an end. We are at a point now where industrial
production is very strong but many manufacturers are
well-stocked and have slowed their purchases," said Ben
Westmore, commodities economist at National Australia Bank.
Ahead of the data release, Chinese officials said economic
conditions are not yet right for China to exit its proactive
fiscal policy, suggesting Beijing will continue with stimulus
measures. [ID:nPEK285428]
Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange MCU3 rose
$76 to $6,370 a tonne by 0409 GMT, after finishing down $121 on
Thursday in an across-the-board sell-off.
Shanghai's benchmark third month copper SCFc3 trimmed
losses, down 230 yuan at 49,970 yuan ($7,316) a tonne at the
midday break, after falling as low as 49,360 yuan earlier.
LME copper is up 1.4 percent so far from the previous week
while Shanghai metal is nearly 1 percent higher.
MF Global commodity analyst Edward Meir said the recent
correction in metals could be "fairly shallow in scope" with
the dollar weakness providing support.
"Having said that, as metals shift their gaze away from the
dollar and focus more on the fundamentals, the recent price
advances should give way to trading range markets.
Investors are awaiting weekly inventory data from the
Shanghai Futures Exchange, with some traders looking at an
increase of between 1,000-2,000 tonnes for copper.
"We forecast an increase of 2,000 tonnes since demand
remains weak, but we expect it to recover in September and
October," said analyst Shao Hebin at Great Wall Futures.
Shanghai copper stocks rose 0.6 percent to a fresh two-year
high of 87,108 tonnes last week from the prior week.
LME lead MPB3 also cut losses after touching a low of
$2,067 a tonne, its weakest in more than a week. The battery
material dropped $25 to $2,095.
On Thursday lead traded as low as $2,085, down 13.3 percent
from the previous day's close in its biggest daily fall ever,
after China's state-run research body Antaike said the
country's refined lead surplus is expected to grow this year
and widen further in 2010, despite recent smelter shutdowns
following a spate of poisoning incidents. [ID:nPEK288741]
Base metals prices at 0409 GMT
Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2008 Pct chg
09
LME Cu 6370.00 76.00 +1.21 3060.00
108.17
SHFE Cu* 49970.00 -230.00 -0.46 23840.00
109.61
LME Alum 1855.00 1.00 +0.05 1535.00
20.85
SHFE Alum* 15030.00 -55.00 -0.36 11540.00
30.24
COMEX Cu** 289.25 3.30 +1.15 139.50
107.35
LME Zinc 1905.00 -15.00 -0.78 1208.00
57.70
SHFE Zinc 15245.00 -270.00 -1.74 10120.00
50.64
LME Nickel 17500.00 300.00 +1.74 11700.00
49.57
LME Lead 2095.00 -25.00 -1.18 999.00
109.71
LME Tin 14325.00 175.00 +1.24 10700.00
33.88
LME/Shanghai arb^ 912
Dollar/yuan 6.8272 \ 6.8282
** 1st contract month for COMEX copper
* 3rd contact month for SHFE aluminium, copper and zinc
^ LME 3-m copper in yuan, including 17 pct VAT, minus SHFE
third month
Source