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RTRS: METALS-Copper hits 13-month peak on improved demand view
 
By Manolo Serapio Jr.
MANILA, Oct 23 (Reuters) - London copper rose 1 percent to
its best level in 13 months on Friday and is on course for its
best week since early August, supported by firmer equities and
hopes Chinese demand will remain strong.
Other metals also marched higher, with zinc jumping to
highs last seen in May 2008, defying a rebound in the dollar
from near 14-month lows. [USD/]
Data on Thursday showed China's production of refined
copper and aluminium hit a fresh monthly record in September,
suggesting that domestic smelters and miners in the world's top
copper and aluminium consumer responded quickly to sustained
higher prices. [ID:nPEK175104]
Combined with strong import numbers released last week, the
data means that "Chinese demand for some metals has been
stronger than expected and apparent consumption was very, very
strong," said Yingxi Yu, commodity analyst at Barclays Capital.
"This is probably the key upside factor for the metals
market."
Also supporting sentiment, copper inventories in Shanghai
warehouses dropped 4 percent from the previous week to 95,976
tonnes, according to data from the Shanghai Futures Exchange on
Friday. <0#SGH-STOCKS>
Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange MCU3 rose
$62 to $6,647 a tonne at 0707 GMT, on track for a 7 percent
gain on the week. It touched a peak of $6,675, its loftiest
since late September 2008.
Shanghai's benchmark third month copper SCFc3 rallied 870
yuan to 51,330 ($7,515) yuan a tonne at the close, up 5.2
percent for the week in its best performance since the week
ended Aug. 28.
Shanghai metal touched a session-peak of 51,420 yuan, the
highest since Aug. 31.
But rising inventories on the LME are keeping a lid on
price gains. At more than 367,000 tonnes, LME copper stocks are
the biggest since mid-May. MCU-STOCKS
For graphics on global copper, zinc and aluminium stocks,
click on [ID:nSP471674]
"That's why I think copper prices should pull back, because
we're in a situation where the copper market is still in
surplus and we're seeing continued increase in inventories,"
said David Moore, commodity strategist at Commonwealth Bank of
Australia.
Moore said he is looking for a copper surplus of around
300,000 tonnes this year and 108,000 tonnes in 2010.
Three-month LME zinc MZN3 rose $10 to $2,260 a tonne,
after rising as high as $2,287.50, a level not seen since May
2008.
Up around 10 percent this week, zinc is so far the best
performer among base metals in what is shaping up to be its
best week since mid-April, supported by supply disruptions.
Inventories of zinc concentrate held by Australia's Century
mine, the world's second largest zinc deposit, are down to half
the level of early October, when a pipeline leak caused it to
shut down its concentrator. [ID:nSYD452729]
"Beyond the short term, the projected recovery in the
global economy over the next 12 months remains firmly
supportive for the metals markets, with potentially substantial
upside for metals like copper and zinc," Barclays Capital said
in a note.
Base metals prices at 0707 GMT
Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2008 Pct chg
09
LME Cu 6647.00 62.00 +0.94 3060.00
117.22
SHFE Cu* 51330.00 870.00 +1.72 23840.00
115.31
LME Alum 1979.00 13.00 +0.66 1535.00
28.93
SHFE Alum* 15110.00 125.00 +0.83 11540.00
30.94
COMEX Cu** 298.80 0.00 +0.00 139.50
114.19
LME Zinc 2260.00 10.00 +0.44 1208.00
87.09
SHFE Zinc 16780.00 335.00 +2.04 10120.00
65.81
LME Nickel 19275.00 75.00 +0.39 11700.00
64.74
LME Lead 2438.00 33.00 +1.37 999.00
144.04
LME Tin 15200.00 200.00 +1.33 10700.00
42.06
LME/Shanghai arb^ 1768
Dollar/yuan 6.8276 \ 6.8278
** 1st contract month for COMEX copper
* 3rd contact month for SHFE aluminium, copper and zinc
^ LME 3-m copper in yuan, including 17 pct VAT, minus SHFE
third month
Source