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RTRS: METALS-Copper dips on U.S. data, but sentiment upbeat
 
* Copper not far off 14-month highs hit on Wednesday
* U.S. housing starts at 6-month low in October
By Manolo Serapio Jr.
MANILA, Nov 19 (Reuters) - Copper continued to pull back on
Thursday from the previous session's 14-month highs, on worries
over weak U.S. economic data.
Poor housing data blocked market attempts to push London
prices past $7,000 a tonne on Wednesday, a level last seen in
September 2008, but the rally could resume amid general
optimism about the global economy, particularly in top copper
consumer China.
"This market is quite upbeat. If you look at the Chinese
economy, it's still very strong and housing construction is
reasonably robust," said Ben Westmore, commodity economist at
National Australia Bank.
"The one thing that's causing the volatility is that in a
lot of other countries, and the United States is one, there is
still uncertainty about the housing market."
Construction of new homes in the United States hit a
six-month low in October, providing more evidence of the
economy's sluggish recovery. [ID:nN1899353]
More U.S. data is due later on Thursday, including weekly
jobless claims, the leading index for October and the
Philadelphia Fed business activity index for November.
Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange MCU3
dipped $25 to $6,855 at 0236 GMT, after hitting a session high
of $6,992 on Wednesday, its strongest level since late
September 2008. Shanghai's benchmark third month copper
SCFc3 fell 550 yuan to 53,390 yuan ($7,817) a tonne. The
contract peaked at 53,950 yuan the previous day, its highest
since Sept. 23, 2008.
Despite the drop, copper prices are up more than 120
percent this year, benefitting from strong global equities, the
dollar's weakness and on growing expectations demand will pick
up strongly in 2010.
Analysts were not too worried by news that BHP Billiton
(BHP.AX: Quote, Profile, Research) (BLT.L: Quote, Profile, Research) had halted all operations at its Spence copper
mine in Chile after striking workers invaded the installations
on the 37th day of the strike. [ID:nN18136519]
"There is a pretty weak market balance in favour of
oversupply at the moment, so it's not probably having as big an
effect as it would previously," said Westmore.
Base metals prices have surged even as inventories
continued to rise.
Copper stocks on LME warehouses rose another 4,100 tonnes
to 414,100 tonnes on Wednesday, the highest since late April.
In Shanghai copper inventories stand at 104,939 tonnes, the
biggest in five and a half years.
LME zinc stocks are at four-year highs, nickel at 15-year
highs and aluminium at near record highs.
"It seems that the infatuation with commodities continues
despite less than stellar fundamentals," MF Global analyst
Edward Meir said in a note, adding $7,500 looks to be the next
resistance for LME copper "as charts seem to be wide open."
"A lot of the momentum buying we've seen is being buoyed by
expectations for demand being revised further upward and as a
result of that investors are expecting the market balance in
the base metals market to improve in the next year," said NAB's
Westmore.
Base metals prices at 0236 GMT
Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2008 Pct chg
09
LME Cu 6855.00 -25.00 -0.36 3060.00
124.02
SHFE Cu* 53390.00 -550.00 -1.02 23840.00
123.95
LME Alum 2055.00 -10.00 -0.48 1535.00
33.88
SHFE Alum* 15465.00 -50.00 -0.32 11540.00
34.01
COMEX Cu** 310.75 0.00 +0.00 139.50
122.76
LME Zinc 2250.00 2.00 +0.09 1208.00
86.26
SHFE Zinc 17700.00 -135.00 -0.76 10120.00
74.90
LME Nickel 17050.00 -150.00 -0.87 11700.00
45.73
LME Lead 2370.00 -33.00 -1.37 999.00
137.24
LME Tin 14975.00 -220.00 -1.45 10700.00
39.95
LME/Shanghai arb^ 1368
Dollar/yuan 6.8274 \ 6.8277
** 1st contract month for COMEX copper
* 3rd contact month for SHFE aluminium, copper and zinc
^ LME 3-m copper in yuan, including 17 pct VAT, minus SHFE
third month
(Reporting by Manolo Serapio Jr.; Editing by Michael
Urquhart)

Source