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Advertisement

 
BLBG: Jobless Claims in U.S. May Show Firings Abated at Year’s End
 
By Courtney Schlisserman

Dec. 31 (Bloomberg) -- Fewer Americans filed claims for unemployment benefits as 2009 drew to a close, pointing to an improvement in the labor market that will help sustain economic growth next year, economists said before a report today.

Some 460,000 workers applied for jobless insurance payments in the week ended Dec. 26, up from a one-year low of 452,000 a week earlier, according to the median forecast of 27 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. It would mark the sixth consecutive week of less than 500,000 claims, the best performance since 2008.

Companies are retaining staff as sales improve and production picks up. Gains in consumer spending, which accounts for 70 percent of the economy, may encourage more hiring in coming months, helping to bolster the rebound from the worst recession since the 1930s.

“We’ve seen a very steady decline in claims, consistent with conditions improving in the overall labor market,” said Zach Pandl, an economist at Nomura Securities International Inc. in New York. “You can’t really have a recovery in the economy unless you have a better job market.”

The Labor Department’s claims report is due at 8:30 a.m. in Washington. Survey estimates ranged from 435,000 to 490,000.

The number of claims reached a 26-year high of 674,000 in the week ended March 27.

Shares have advanced this year amid evidence the economy is improving. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index is up 25 percent in 2009, and is headed for its biggest annual gain in six years.

President Barack Obama this month signed into law legislation that included a stopgap provision to ensure that unemployment benefits weren’t cut off over the holidays.

Jobs Report

The government is scheduled to release its December payrolls report on Jan. 8. In November, the economy lost the fewest jobs since the recession began two years ago and the unemployment rate receded to 10 percent from a 26-year high of 10.2 percent the prior month.

Even so, Americans are concerned about their financial future. Fewer people in December believed their incomes will increase over the next three to six months, the Conference Board’s confidence report this week showed.

Warren Buffett’sBerkshire Hathaway Inc. is among companies that slashed employment in 2009. The Omaha, Nebraska- based company last week said it cut 21,000 workers from its payroll amid a slump at the firm’s manufacturing and retail units. The company and its subsidiaries now have about 225,000 workers, it said in regulatory filings.


Bloomberg Survey

=================================================
Initial Cont.
Claims Claims
,000’s ,000’s
=================================================

Date of Release 12/31 12/31
Observation Period 26-Dec 19-Dec
-------------------------------------------------
Median 460 5100
Average 461 5073
High Forecast 490 5140
Low Forecast 435 5000
Number of Participants 27 10
Previous 452 5076
-------------------------------------------------
4CAST Ltd. 490 ---
Action Economics 465 5100
Bank of Tokyo- Mitsubishi 450 ---
Barclays Capital 445 ---
BBVA 469 5140
BofA Merrill Lynch Resear 460 ---
Briefing.com 445 5100
Citi 480 ---
Deutsche Bank Securities 455 ---
Herrmann Forecasting 449 5115
HSBC Markets 470 ---
IDEAglobal 460 ---
Insight Economics 450 5000
Jefferies & Co. 465 ---
Landesbank Berlin 450 ---
Maria Fiorini Ramirez Inc 470 ---
Moody’s Economy.com 450 5000
Morgan Stanley & Co. 475 ---
RBC Capital Markets 467 ---
RBS Securities Inc. 490 ---
Ried, Thunberg & Co. 460 5100
Schneider Foreign Exchang 468 5070
Stone & McCarthy Research 470 ---
TD Securities 450 5000
Thomson Reuters/IFR 435 ---
University of Maryland 455 ---
Wrightson Associates 460 5100
=================================================
Source