RTRS: METALS-Shanghai copper down 1 pct on tightening fears
* Beijing tells banks to restrict loans for rest of Jan
* U.S. dollar hit 5-month high against the euro
By Rujun Shen and Jacqueline Wong
SHANGHAI, Jan 20 (Reuters) - Shanghai copper fell 1 percent
on Wednesday, after China's central bank signalled another move
to tighten monetary policy and the dollar gained, but sentiment
was still supported by strong China demand outlook.
The U.S. dollar hit a five-month high against the euro on
continued concern about Greece's fiscal problems and after
breaking below a key chart level that could signal a bearish
trend for the currency. [USD/]
Chinese banking authorities have instructed some major
banks to halt their lending during the rest of January after a
burst of credit in the first couple of weeks, official media
and banking sources said on Wednesday. [ID:nTOE60J010]
Just on Tuesday, the central bank lifted the auction yield
on one-year bills in its regular open market operations on
Tuesday, a second week in a row. [ID:nTOE60I06T]
"The series of tightening moves surely has an impact on the
market, but the accumulated force has not been strong enough to
knock out metals prices," said Zhu Yanzhong, an analyst at
Jinrui Futures.
Zhu said the upward trend was intact in general, unless the
central bank made more pronounced moves, such as rate hikes,
any time soon.
Shanghai's benchmark third-month copper futures contract
SCFc3 ended down 1 percent at 61,000 yuan a tonne, after
touching 62,000 yuan in early trade, highest in a week and
half.
The most-active contract for May delivery SCFK0 fell 1.3
percent to 61,000 yuan a tonne.
Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange CMCU3
pared early gains to lose $26.25 to $7,518.75 a tonne by 0700
GMT.
"Shanghai copper is stuck -- investors are optimistic about
China's economic data, but also worry about tightening
policies," said Peng Qiang, an analyst at COFCO Futures.
"Prices are likely to move sideways in an upward channel
this week, but it would be difficult to reach previous highs."
Beijing is scheduled to release key economic data on
Thursday, expected to show China's economy probably gathered
strength in December, while consumer price index may have risen
at the fastest pace since Feb 2008, making inflation in
increasing headache for policymakers. [ID:nTOE60B06T]
But some investors and analysts said the liquidity in the
market was unlikely to shrink any time soon.
"Why did the central bank decide to tighten up? Because
bank lending in the beginning of the year has exceeded
expectations -- the money is already out there," said a
Shanghai-based trader.
"I don't see any lack of liquidity in the market in the
short term."
Barclays Capital expected the central bank to continue to
use liquidity management and window guidance to control the
pace of bank lending, and did not expect an interest rate hike
until the second half of 2010, it said in a research note.
"We do not believe the recent policy moves represents the
beginning of an aggressive tightening cycle," it said.
Base metals prices at 0700 GMT
Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2009 YTD pct
chg
LME Cu 7518.75 -26.25 -0.35 7375.00
1.95
SHFE Cu* 61000.00 -630.00 -1.02 59900.00
1.84
LME Alum 2285.00 -8.00 -0.35 2230.00
2.47
SHFE Alum* 17410.00 -325.00 -1.83 17160.00
1.46
COMEX Cu** 343.70 8.20 +2.44 332.75
3.29
LME Zinc 2510.00 7.00 +0.28 2560.00
-1.95
SHFE Zinc 20795.00 -155.00 -0.74 21195.00
-1.89
LME Nickel 19005.00 -195.00 -1.02 18525.00
2.59
LME Lead 2430.00 5.00 +0.21 2432.00
-0.08
LME Tin 17800.00 -175.00 -0.97 16950.00
5.01
LME/Shanghai arb^ -942
Dollar/yuan 6.8272 \ 6.8292
** 1st contract month for COMEX copper
* 3rd contact month for SHFE aluminium, copper and zinc
^ LME 3-m copper in yuan, including 17 pct VAT, minus SHFE
third month
(Editing by Ed Lane)