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RTRS: METALS-Copper retreats on tightening fears, weak equity
 
* China implements rise in bank reserves on Tuesday
* Cancelled warrants up, suggests Asia demand may be
rising
(Recasts, updates prices, adds comment)
By Rujun Shen and Edmund Klamann
SHANGHAI, Jan 26 (Reuters) - London copper prices fell more
than a percent on Tuesday after China enforced a rise in bank
reserves, rekindling concerns of more tightening policies from
the world's top consumer of industrial metals.
China's central bank last week told some banks to raise
their reserve ratios, and banking sources said the hike came
into effect on Tuesday. [ID:nSGE60P039]
The news weakened investor sentiment and hurt equity
markets, sending the benchmark Shanghai Composite Index .SSEC
down 2.4 percent and Hong Kong shares to a four-month low.
"There are worries about tightening of credit. Even though
the interest rate wasn't raised on the one-year bills,
everybody is still talking about it," a Shanghai-based trader
said.
A series of moves from China's central bank to rein in
excessive credit and U.S. President Barack Obama's plan to
restrict risk trading at banks have sent jitters across the
financial markets.
Shanghai's benchmark third-month copper futures contract
SCFc3 pared early gains to end at 59,350 yuan, down 0.8
percent.
The most-active contract for May delivery SCFK0 fell 1.2
percent to 59,210 yuan a tonne.
Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange MCU3
declined 1.7 percent to $7,341.25 a tonne, reversing gains in
the previous session.
Copper prices have fallen by almost 6 percent since peaking
at $7,796 a tonne in early January. Zinc has dropped 16 percent
and lead has lost nearly 19 percent since their January peaks,
while aluminium is down almost 7 percent.
"The sell-off can be attributed to a number of factors,
including long liquidation after the recent strong price
rally," said a Macquarie research note.
Macquarie expects copper to remain strong in the short
term.
Strong Chinese import demand as a result of the opened
arbitrage window is likely to keep prices at lofty levels, the
Macquarie research note said, adding that copper consumption in
China would not be affected by tightening policies.
"The Chinese government has yet to tighten monetary policy,
merely act to bring the monetary stance towards neutral, while
leaving fiscal measures designed to encourage domestic
consumption largely intact," it said.
Copper stocks registered with the London Metal Exchange
fell by 800 tonnes on Monday, but cancelled warrants --
materials earmarked for delivery -- rose nearly 60 percent in
the past two days to stand at 11,300 tonnes.
"The rising cancelled warrants in January suggests the
demand from Asia may be rising in the first quarter, which will
not support a sharp correction in prices," said Peng Qiang, an
analyst at COFCOFutures.
Shanghai aluminium SAFc3 fell 1.3 percent to 16,975 yuan
a tonne, and LME aluminium was down $18 to $2,225 a tonne.
China's top aluminium maker, Aluminum Corporation of China
(Chinalco), is shifting its development focus to copper, which
has great potential in China than aluminium, and its next
overseas acquisition is likely to be a copper mining and
smelting project. [ID:nSGE60O0FW]
Shanghai zinc SZNc3 dropped 3.4 percent to a one-month
low 19,195 yuan a tonne, and LME zinc MZN3 fell 0.8 percent
to $2,296.
Base metals prices at 0701 GMT
Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2009 YTD pct
chg
LME Cu 7341.25 -123.75 -1.66 7375.00
-0.46
SHFE Cu* 59350.00 -500.00 -0.84 59900.00
-0.92
LME Alum 2225.00 -18.00 -0.80 2230.00
-0.22
SHFE Alum* 16975.00 -220.00 -1.28 17160.00
-1.08
COMEX Cu** 335.00 -3.40 -1.00 332.75
0.68
LME Zinc 2296.00 -19.00 -0.82 2560.00
-10.31
SHFE Zinc 19195.00 -680.00 -3.42 21195.00
-9.44
LME Nickel 17950.00 -200.00 -1.10 18525.00
-3.10
LME Lead 2180.00 -40.00 -1.80 2432.00
-10.36
LME Tin 17750.00 -190.00 -1.06 16950.00
4.72
LME/Shanghai arb^ -714
Dollar/yuan 6.8267 \ 6.8269
** 1st contract month for COMEX copper
* 3rd contact month for SHFE aluminium, copper and zinc
^ LME 3-m copper in yuan, including 17 pct VAT, minus SHFE
third month
(Editing by Himani Sarkar)

Source