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BLBG: Consumer Spending in U.S. Rises for Third Consecutive Month
 
By Timothy R. Homan

Feb. 1 (Bloomberg) -- Spending by U.S. consumers increased in December for a third consecutive month, signaling the biggest part of the economy will contribute more to growth in coming months.

The 0.2 percent increase in purchases was less than anticipated and followed a 0.7 percent gain in November that was larger than previously estimated, Commerce Department figures showed today in Washington. Incomes climbed 0.4 percent, exceeding expectations.

Retailers such as Amazon.com Inc. are posting profits on increased sales as Americans spent more this past holiday season than the year before. Growing sales indicate consumers will help the world’s largest economy expand even as unemployment is forecast to average 10 percent this year.

“Households appear to have set a course of moderate spending,” John Silvia, chief economist at Wells Fargo Securities LLC in Charlotte, North Carolina, said before the report. “Our outlook for 2010 is an improvement in consumer spending.”

The median estimate of 65 economists surveyed called for a 0.3 percent increase in spending, after an originally reported gain of 0.5 percent the prior month. Projections ranged from no change to 0.7 percent.

The gain in incomes followed a 0.5 percent increase in November and exceeded the 0.3 percent median estimate in the Bloomberg survey. Wages and salaries climbed 0.1 percent in December after increasing 0.4 percent the prior month.

Prices Stable

Today’s report showed prices were stabilizing. The inflation gauge tied to spending patterns rose 2.1 percent from December 2008, less than the survey median forecast.

The Fed’s preferred price measure, which excludes food and fuel, climbed 0.1 percent in December from the previous month and was up 1.5 percent from a year earlier.

Adjusted for inflation, spending climbed 0.1 percent following a 0.4 percent rise the prior month.

Because the increase in spending was smaller than the gain in incomes, the savings rate rose to 4.8 percent from 4.5 percent the prior month.

Disposable income, or the money left over after taxes, increased 0.4 percent.

Better Sales

Amazon, the world’s largest retailer, posted profit and sales that beat analysts’ estimates and said revenue growth may accelerate this quarter as consumers start spending more following the recession. Sales may rise as much as 43 percent to $7 billion in the first quarter, more than last year’s 18 percent growth, the Seattle-based company said last week in a statement. Analysts surveyed by Bloomberg had estimated sales of $6.42 billion.

Inflation-adjusted spending on durable goods, such as autos, furniture, and other long-lasting items, climbed 0.2 percent in December after rising 2.3 percent the prior month.

Purchases of non-durable goods decreased 0.8 percent, and spending on services, which account for almost 60 percent of all outlays, increased 0.4 percent.

The economy grew at a 5.7 percent annual rate in the fourth quarter, exceeding the median forecast of economists surveyed, figures from the Commerce Department showed last week. Consumer spending, which accounts for 70 percent of the economy, climbed at a 2 percent pace, also exceeding expectations.

To contact the reporter on this story: Timothy R Homan in Washington at thoman1@bloomberg.net

Source