MW: Dollar lower as Greek debt fears fade, risk appetite revives
By William L. Watts, MarketWatch
LONDON (MarketWatch) -- The dollar lost ground versus most major rivals Monday, slipping versus the euro after French President Nicolas Sarkozy indicated over the weekend that Greece's euro-zone partners stood ready to provide help if needed to avoid a default.
The news contributed to a general rise in risk appetite that favored riskier, higher-yielding currencies to the dollar's detriment, strategists said. The dollar weakened Friday as risk appetite was aided by data that showed a smaller-than-expected drop by U.S. non-farm payrolls in February.
The euro rose to $1.3648 from $1.3626 in late North American trading on Friday.
Sarkozy, after a meeting with Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou, said Sunday that euro zone members would do what is necessary to help Greece and said that detailed measures are being discussed.
Also, remarks by German officials and news reports indicated European support for the creation of a European institution modeled on the International Monetary Fund that would help enforce budget rules within the euro zone and provide a backstop in the event of future debt crises. Read about ideas for a European Monetary Fund.
The euro "will react positively to this news," wrote strategists at BNP Paribas. "Now as budget consolidation measures have been introduced allowing bond spreads to come down, there will be a period of calm. The next risk is on the social side when the budget cuts reduce income and increase unemployment."
A push back above the $1.3690 and $1.3720 levels by the euro would open the way for a test of resistance at $1.3850, they said.
The dollar index (DXY 80.36, -0.07, -0.09%) , which measures the U.S. unit against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, fell to 80.362 from 80.430 late Friday.
The dollar was up slightly versus its Japanese counterpart, changing hands at 90.41 yen, down from 90.34 yen late Friday.
Meanwhile, the high-yielding Australian dollar rose 0.3% against the U.S. unit trade at 91.06 U.S. cents.
Currency investors were also paying attention to weekend reports that Chinese central bank Gov. Zhou Xiaochuan said China will in due course move away from its currency-exchange policy, indicating Beijing doesn't plan to keep the yuan's de-facto peg to the U.S. dollar indefinitely. Read more on China yuan.
"In our view, all the official comments in favor of a cautious foreign-exchange policy, or in favor of keeping the [Chinese yuan] basically stable, are aimed at managing market expectations and making clear that the [yuan] appreciation, when it starts, will be a gradual process," Sebastien Barbe, head of emerging-markets strategy at Credit Agricole, said in e-mailed comments.
Barbe maintained his view that the yuan may resume its appreciation against the dollar in March or in the second quarter.