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RTRS: METALS-Copper reverses gains, Red Kite warns prices need to fall 20 pct
 
* Copper trades below $9,800 a tonne, over $4stocks
* 00 off recent record
* Hedge fund Red Kite warns prices too high, need to correct
20 pct
* Lead rises after leap in canceled warrants ratio to 7 pct

(Updates prices)
By Nick Trevethan
SINGAPORE, Feb 17 (Reuters) - London copper fell 1 percent
on Thursday, reversing earlier gains that saw the market back
above $9,900 as worries about inflation and the demand-stifling
effect of prices near highs kept sentiment in check.
Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange
dropped by 1.1 percent to $9,740 a tonne by 0831 GMT, after
having touched a record $10,190 on Tuesday.
But those high prices are cutting off demand from copper
consumers.
Metals-focused hedge fund Red Kite said the record highs in
copper were unsustainable and prices needed to fall 20 percent
or so to attract top buyer China back into the market in a big
way.
"The price needs to come down to around $7,500 to $8,000 a
tonne," Scott Hobart, portfolio manager at HFZ Capital
Management Ltd. in Hong Kong, a unit of New York-based Red Kite,
said on the sidelines of a hedge fund industry event hosted by
Reuters.
"It has to come down for China to start restocking on copper
and take stockpiles off the physical market. Without China
restocking, which is what the market is really hanging its hat
on at the moment, stocks will continue to build," Hobart said.

Shanghai's most active copper contract dropped 1.3
percent to 74,680 yuan.
Prices were expected to fall to 73,850 yuan per tonne as a
five-wave cycle has been completed with a correction on the way,
said Reuters analyst Wang Tao.
A fall from Tuesday's high has adopted a five-wave mode on
five-minute chart, signaling a short-term downtrend has
established, with a bearish target at 73,850 yuan, the 38.2
percent Fibonacci retracement on the rise from 69,900 yuan to
76,290 yuan.
Inflation pressures in China, consumer of 40 percent of the
world's copper, and elsewhere, have sparked anxiety amongst
investors.
Food inflation is a particular problem for China, and higher
prices for basic staples could eat into the disposable income of
millions of would-be consumers.
U.S. core wholesale prices rose in January at their fastest
in more than two years, raising some concerns about inflation,
but economists said the recovery was too weak for a big spike in
consumer prices.
Investors are waiting for a batch of data including
January's consumer prices and weekly jobless claims later in the
day, to assess the pace of the economic recovery.
Lead fell 0.3 percent to $2,585, following a fall of
1.6 percent. On Wednesday, LME data showed a 16,000-tonne leap
in canceled warrants to 21,575 tonnes or more than 7 percent of
the total stockpile
The lead market has seen a dominant cash position
controlling 50-80 percent of the market, and analysts linked the
fresh cancellations, focused on material Antwerp with that.

Some speculated that the material may be destined for
battery makers dealing with strong demand for auto batteries
after a chilly northern hemisphere winter.
For a graphic, click:
here

(Reporting by Nick Trevethan; Editing by Clarence Fernandez)
Source