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FB: September retail inflation eases to 6.46%, lowest since January 2012
 
ringing good news to the common man ahead of Diwali, the retail inflation dropped to 6.46 per cent in September on falling prices of fruits and vegetables, the lowest since India started computing Consumer Price Index (CPI) in January 2012.

The overall food inflation measured on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell to 7.67 per cent as against 9.35 per cent in the previous month and 11.75 per cent in September 2013.

CPI inflation is on the decline since July.

The retail inflation was at 7.73 per cent in August, revised downward from the earlier estimate of 7.8 per cent.

As per the data released by the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation, the CPI inflation in vegetable basket in September fell to 8.59 per cent as against 15.15 per cent in the previous month.

Inflation in fruits slowed to 22.4 per cent from 24.27 per cent in August. Similarly price rise in protein rich items like eggs, fish and meat was slower in September as compared to August.

The data for inflation based on Wholesale Price Index will be released tomorrow. The WPI inflation in August was at 3.74 per cent.

Lately, Reserve Bank has been mainly considering CPI inflation while deciding on its bi-monthly monetary policy. RBI has been targeting a retail inflation of 8 per cent by March 2015 and 6 per cent by March 2016.

In its last monetary policy, the RBI had maintained a status quo in interest rate citing worries on the inflation front despite industry demanding reduction.

The data further revealed that consumer inflation was 6.34 per cent in urban India and 6.68 per cent in rural parts of the country. The urban and rural inflation was at 7.04 per cent and 8.27 per cent, respectively in August.

While prices were trending lower, analysts said the Reserve Bank of India’s inflation target further out in January 2016 may be difficult to achieve.

A CNBC-TV18 poll expected the data to be around 7.2 percent. The wholesale price inflation is also expected to tick down to 3.3 percent from last month's 3.7 percent, due to a steady fall in global crude oil prices, which hit a near two-year low on Thursday. The WPI data will be released on Tuesday.

However, the index of industrial production (IIP) for the month of August that came below expectations, at 0.4 percent against 0.5 percent in the month of July may keep the market jittery.
Source