BS: Commodities Set for Biggest Drop in 13 Months on Demand Outlook
By Claudia Carpenter
Jan. 29 (Bloomberg) -- Commodities headed for the biggest monthly decline in 13 months on concern that demand for raw materials may wane as governments take steps to control economic growth.
The Standard & Poor’s GSCI Index of 24 raw materials is down 6.4 percent this month, the most since December 2008, led by slides of 17 percent for zinc and 15 percent for lead. Copper has lost 6.5 percent this month, also the most in 13 months, and crude oil is down 7.3 percent, the first decline since July. Sugar, feeder cattle and platinum climbed.
Commodities last year rose the most in four decades, led by a doubling in copper, sugar and lead prices, as government spending programs spurred speculation that raw-materials demand would increase after the biggest slump in the global economy since World War II. Investors poured a record $92 billion into commodities last year, Barclays Capital estimates.
“The optimism that led into 2010 has dried up very quickly,” said Jonathan Barratt, managing director at Commodity Broking Services Pty in Sydney. “Economies have been running off stimulus packages, not off genuine demand.”
The Federal Reserve this week said it is taking steps to prepare investors for an end to stimulus. China started to restrict bank lending this month.
Copper, Oil
Copper for delivery in three months dropped $50, or 0.7 percent, to $6,848 a metric ton at 9:28 a.m. on the London Metal Exchange. Prices have declined 12 percent from this year’s high three weeks ago.
Crude oil for March delivery was at $74.01 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, down 12 percent from this year’s high of $84.45.
Commodities also have declined as the dollar strengthened, curbing investment demand for raw materials as an alternative asset. The U.S. Dollar Index, a six-currency gauge of the greenback’s strength, has added 1.4 percent this month after gaining 3 percent in December.
Gold for immediate delivery fell 0.4 percent to $1,083.18 an ounce, down 1.3 percent this month. Investment in the SPDR Gold Trust, the biggest exchange-traded fund backed by the metal, had dropped 1.9 percent this month as of Jan. 28, according to figures on the company’s Web site.
Platinum, which is not in the GSCI index, has advanced 3.3 percent this month after an ETF fund was introduced in the U.S.
Raw-sugar futures in New York have gained 8.6 percent this month as buyers including India, the world’s biggest consumer, compete for limited supplies. Feeder cattle, calves that are not ready for slaughter, have climbed 2.4 percent this month.
Grain and soybean prices have declined this month after the U.S. Department of Agriculture raised its estimate of supplies. Corn futures have dropped 13 percent in January, wheat is down 11 percent, and soybeans have slumped 11 percent.
--With assistance from Yee Kai Pin in Singapore, Ben Sharples in Melbourne and Chanyaporn Chanjaroen and Nicholas Larkin in London. Editors: Dan Weeks, John Deane.