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LSE: Euro plummets to 2-1/2-month low vs U.S. dollar
 
By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss

NEW YORK, Nov 30 (Reuters) - The euro fell across the board

on Tuesday, plunging to 2-1/2-month lows against the U.S.

dollar, with losses seen accelerating given nagging worries

about euro zone sovereign debt.

A financial rescue deal for Ireland failed to contain

contagion fears as the euro fell below the critical $1.30 level

and investors took out many options barriers on the way. The

next key figure to watch, traders said, is $1.2794, the 61.8

percent retracement of the June to November rally.

In tandem with euro weakness, the premiums investors demand

to hold Spanish and Italian sovereign bonds over German debt

jumped to lifetime highs while yields on Portuguese, Irish and

Belgian bonds also widened.

'The European credit market is in panic mode because of

fears of insolvency (for some euro zone countries) and the euro

is trading off those credit yields,' said Boris Schlossberg,

director of FX research at GFT in New York.

'For the euro to stabilize, credit yields need to stabilize

and for that to happen we need action from the European Central

Bank. The Irish bailout was not enough and so the pressure is

building.'

The ECB meeting this Thursday is therefore crucial as

investors will be looking for comments on how the bank could

help address growing hysteria in the credit and currency

market. It is also widely expected to keep rates on hold and

sources say it could extend banks' access to unlimited

three-month funds beyond January. For more see .

The euro fell to $1.2969 on EBS trading systems,

its lowest since Sept. 15, before modestly recovering to

$1.2977, down more than 1 percent. Some traders said there is

minor support around $1.2920, the Sept. 6 high. That level

preceded a steep rally in the euro that took it all the way to

that early November high at $1.4283.

The euro also stayed well below its 200-day moving average,

currently around $1.3127, having closed beneath it on Monday to

signal a bearish trend ahead.



BEARISH SENTIMENT, RISE IN VOLATILITIES

Traders said the ease with which the euro had broken key

levels in recent days reflected the extent of negative

sentiment towards the currency, which has lost around 9 percent

against the dollar since its peak this month.

Euro/dollar implied volatilities spiked on Tuesday to a

peak of 15.55 percent, the highest since at least

June, suggesting nervousness about the euro zone currency.

The one-month 25-delta risk reversals, a gauge of currency

sentiment, traded as low as -2.85 vols for euro

puts versus a close of -2.73 on Monday.


Further reflecting the euro's negative

bias, the latest

positioning data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission

showed speculators going net short on the euro for the first

time since Sept. 14.

'With euro positioning nowhere near any extreme there is

more scope for downside over the coming sessions,' a

London-based trader said. 'Flows retained a negative euro bias

with macro funds selling euro cash and positioning to the

downside via options.'



The euro zone single currency slid to 1.2972 Swiss francs , 108.90 yen, and 83.665 pence against

sterling, all more than 10-week lows.

With the spotlight on the euro, the dollar continued to

gain, hitting a more than two-month high at 81.444 against a

currency basket, lifted by safe-haven flows and recent

evidence of an improving U.S. economy.

(Additional reporting by Jessica Mortimer in London; Editing
Source